Post by benjimcfly on Nov 15, 2020 12:34:32 GMT -5
It's been a while since I've typed anything up about the game. Let's start with the tribes as they stand:
LOHTSE:
Much like Ricky, I agree that Erica and Taylor are at the top of this tribe. Erica is well liked among all of the cast and has Taylor and Shon in her corner to ensure that she has at least half of the tribe on her side if they have to go to vote. Taylor is in a good spot, as she and Erica came from Manaslu together. You'd figure that Tito/Becki/Christian would be in the best positions, as they all came from OG Lohtse, but that isn't exactly the case. Christian was blindsided just before the swap and Becki/Tito weren't exactly good with him pre-swap. Tito found tight alliances with Jake and Tati, but now he doesn't have the tightest bonds from OG Lohtse with him. The good news is that Tito is likeable, and knows Shon from a previous ORG. The more that days roll on, I feel that Christian is making more of a concerted effort to know the rest of the tribe. He had a substantial call with Shon yesterday (lasting well over an hour) and it wasn't as under performing as it was on OG Lohtse. He admitted to Shon that he is a free agent and only pretends to be good with Tito and Becki, because why not? They screwed him over and he doesn't have to align with them. I think that Becki will be the vote off if/when they lose their challenge (I think they might lose today).
MANASLU:
I'm not sure how much it's worth to type about Manaslu here, because I have this belief that they'll never go to tribal. They're good at competitions, they have a good attitude about everything and they're all strong players. That being said, I agree with Ricky's list above, except I have Jake in the #1 spot. This isn't going to be bitching about Jake, because it's on the rest of the people in this game to allow him to get any further. Jake is playing an amazing game and continues to wow me round after round. He throws his threat level in people's faces and they continue to be wooed by him. Kyle is most aware of Jake's previous threat level and he said he wants to cut Jake after the merge. Boy, letting Jake get that far in this game is your error. The more time Jake buys, the more he's planning how to get to the next round. Now that Matt basically gave Jake an idol, he's making it to the merge, of that I'm very sure. The further Jake gets, the more I'm rooting for him to be our first two time winner. Frances and Kyle are the best duo in the game. They talk often, they trust each other fully and they control their fate in this game. They don't need Andrew, so they could cut him, but I don't think they'll have to come to that. Also, Pat is playing this UTR "I'll get on 20 minute calls with everyone once in a while" type of game. I'm jealous of it, because he is making it work. Either way, I don't expect Manaslu to go to tribal anytime soon.
NUPTSE:
This tribe is interesting. They were in a 3v3 lock (Tyler/Hannah/Tati from Lohtse and Michael/Scott/Racheal from Nuptse) and Michael/Racheal were very accepting to lose Scott. What the best play was Tyler going directly to Michael and Racheal and saying "Look, we are willing to go to Rocks and we want Scott out". It was the right tone, the right pitch and the right name to push to the right people. It was honestly a great round for Tyler. He was in hot water on OG Lohtse, and he got placed into the exact situation that best works for Tyler: He got two players he was in a voting block with who don't want to lead the vote and he found a player he likes a lot in Michael. Now that Scott has been voted out, I see Tyler taking over and leading this tribe to some immunity wins. Basically, I think that Lohtse will be going to a couple tribals in a row here. Racheal/Michael are a tight duo, but I think that Michael has no real allegiance with anyone in this game. I could see him cutting anyone at any time to get himself further. Michael is a fun player to watch and I'm excited what the next few rounds bring for him. If this tribe does lose a challenge (totally plausible), I could see Tyler offering Hannah or Tati to Michael/Racheal to make up for cutting Scott. I think he will try to offer Hannah, but Racheal and Michael might want Tati gone. Hannah is making more of a concerted effort to talk to them and Tati isn't putting in the same time. I can't say this enough, but Hannah is doing EVERYTHING she said she would in her intro video to win this game: on more calls/making more connections and letting someone else take over. I really think Hannah can go the distance, but she's going to have to cut Jake. He was spreading her name around as a threat and others were listening and believing. That's one of Jake's moves: put the target on someone else, constantly.
Winner picks as of today: Jake, Hannah, Taylor, Frances.
LOHTSE:
Much like Ricky, I agree that Erica and Taylor are at the top of this tribe. Erica is well liked among all of the cast and has Taylor and Shon in her corner to ensure that she has at least half of the tribe on her side if they have to go to vote. Taylor is in a good spot, as she and Erica came from Manaslu together. You'd figure that Tito/Becki/Christian would be in the best positions, as they all came from OG Lohtse, but that isn't exactly the case. Christian was blindsided just before the swap and Becki/Tito weren't exactly good with him pre-swap. Tito found tight alliances with Jake and Tati, but now he doesn't have the tightest bonds from OG Lohtse with him. The good news is that Tito is likeable, and knows Shon from a previous ORG. The more that days roll on, I feel that Christian is making more of a concerted effort to know the rest of the tribe. He had a substantial call with Shon yesterday (lasting well over an hour) and it wasn't as under performing as it was on OG Lohtse. He admitted to Shon that he is a free agent and only pretends to be good with Tito and Becki, because why not? They screwed him over and he doesn't have to align with them. I think that Becki will be the vote off if/when they lose their challenge (I think they might lose today).
MANASLU:
I'm not sure how much it's worth to type about Manaslu here, because I have this belief that they'll never go to tribal. They're good at competitions, they have a good attitude about everything and they're all strong players. That being said, I agree with Ricky's list above, except I have Jake in the #1 spot. This isn't going to be bitching about Jake, because it's on the rest of the people in this game to allow him to get any further. Jake is playing an amazing game and continues to wow me round after round. He throws his threat level in people's faces and they continue to be wooed by him. Kyle is most aware of Jake's previous threat level and he said he wants to cut Jake after the merge. Boy, letting Jake get that far in this game is your error. The more time Jake buys, the more he's planning how to get to the next round. Now that Matt basically gave Jake an idol, he's making it to the merge, of that I'm very sure. The further Jake gets, the more I'm rooting for him to be our first two time winner. Frances and Kyle are the best duo in the game. They talk often, they trust each other fully and they control their fate in this game. They don't need Andrew, so they could cut him, but I don't think they'll have to come to that. Also, Pat is playing this UTR "I'll get on 20 minute calls with everyone once in a while" type of game. I'm jealous of it, because he is making it work. Either way, I don't expect Manaslu to go to tribal anytime soon.
NUPTSE:
This tribe is interesting. They were in a 3v3 lock (Tyler/Hannah/Tati from Lohtse and Michael/Scott/Racheal from Nuptse) and Michael/Racheal were very accepting to lose Scott. What the best play was Tyler going directly to Michael and Racheal and saying "Look, we are willing to go to Rocks and we want Scott out". It was the right tone, the right pitch and the right name to push to the right people. It was honestly a great round for Tyler. He was in hot water on OG Lohtse, and he got placed into the exact situation that best works for Tyler: He got two players he was in a voting block with who don't want to lead the vote and he found a player he likes a lot in Michael. Now that Scott has been voted out, I see Tyler taking over and leading this tribe to some immunity wins. Basically, I think that Lohtse will be going to a couple tribals in a row here. Racheal/Michael are a tight duo, but I think that Michael has no real allegiance with anyone in this game. I could see him cutting anyone at any time to get himself further. Michael is a fun player to watch and I'm excited what the next few rounds bring for him. If this tribe does lose a challenge (totally plausible), I could see Tyler offering Hannah or Tati to Michael/Racheal to make up for cutting Scott. I think he will try to offer Hannah, but Racheal and Michael might want Tati gone. Hannah is making more of a concerted effort to talk to them and Tati isn't putting in the same time. I can't say this enough, but Hannah is doing EVERYTHING she said she would in her intro video to win this game: on more calls/making more connections and letting someone else take over. I really think Hannah can go the distance, but she's going to have to cut Jake. He was spreading her name around as a threat and others were listening and believing. That's one of Jake's moves: put the target on someone else, constantly.
Winner picks as of today: Jake, Hannah, Taylor, Frances.
